Carl Watts wrote:jackarabit wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised if there is a prominent and statistically-confirmable turnpoint in rate of physical decline in males 65-70 yrs. of age.
I did see the curves somewhere that had a sudden drop off in performance, it was well above 65. Exercise gives you a much slower rate of decline, personally I'm surprised at what I can do at 50 when compared to even age 30, arguably rowing better now than then but obviously I just was not as fit back then as potentially I could have been. Hoping to see a gradual decline to age 60 at least.
Time and again the question arises about drop off in performance based on aging. Any one person might beat the odds a bit, but the numbers don’t lie.
If one looks very closely at C2 world records for 2K and 5K, both HWt and LWt, one can see very consistent decline from age 30 on and a definite turn for the worse at about age 60 with further changes every decade. It helps to plot all the data to see the change points. The decline for LWt rowers for both 2K and 5K is a little less until age 60, but then tracks the decline for HWts.
A HWt, on average, will lose about 4 secs of pace per 500m per decade until 60, but then jumps to 7 secs and then again to over 10 secs of pace loss per decade at 70. LWts, on the other hand, are more like 3 sec of pace change per decade but go to 8 secs per decade from 60 to 80. Interestingly enough, 5K differentials closely track the ones for 2K, including HWt-LWt differences. After 80, the losses for both weights are about 17 sec of pace per decade. Furthermore, HWt and Lwt times start converging then.
If one looks at power numbers, for 2K, for HWts, the power decline is a very consistent 75 W across all decades. For LWts, the power loss is about 56 W across all decades, the line with a little inflection for the worse at age 60.
This data may not fit any one person, but probably is not too far off. Of course, if one starts serious training late in life, performance numbers will rise for a while, but then will follow the pattern. The bottom line is that if you were/are a good/great rower at some age, like 50 or 60, your numbers will decline quite a bit over the next decade. It’s right here in the numbers.
JimG, Gainesville, Ga, 79, 76", 205lb. PBs:
65-69: .5,1,2,5,6,10K: 1:30.8 3:14.1 6:40.7 17:34.0 21:18.1 36:21.7 30;60;HM: 8337 16237 1:20:25
70-79: .5,1,2,5,6,10K: 1:32.7 3:19.5 6:58.1 17:55.3 21:32.6 36:41.9 30;60;HM: 8214 15353 1:23:02.5